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Our portfolios are up 15% and 8.1% since September compared to a LOSS of 3.4% for the S&P 500. Our top two ETFs are each up 29%!
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Special 2008 Forecast
by David Frazier
Editor, ETF Strategist


Dear Fellow Investor:

There's an old saying in sailboat racing that applies equally to investing: "He who knows the wind, wins." 

In last September's inaugural issue of The ETF Strategist, I wrote about how you could prosper regardless of the ill winds blowing in the stock market.

Since then — precisely as I predicted — the major market indexes dropped while both my ETF-based conservative and aggressive portfolios soared!

My recommendations gave my readers the tailwind they needed to get a head start on successful investing in the New Year.

If you'd had the benefit of these recommendations, you'd be enjoying returns of 8.1 percent in your conservative portfolio and 15 percent in your aggressive investments right now — returns far above the negative 3.4 percent returned by the S&P!

Since inception of The ETF Strategist in September 2007 we have had just ONE losing position. And our winners include PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund +28.7%, and ProShares Ultra Short Consumer Services Fund +29.1% — compared to a LOSS of 3.4% for the S&P 500.

This is why you simply can't afford to miss an issue of The ETF Strategist.

It's also why you need to read my special 2008 Forecast Issue, in which I share what my indicators are telling me about how we can continue to make money if stocks fall during the first half of 2008.

This issue also contains my sector forecast for the second half, when the profit party gets fully underway.

So come on in, pull up a chair and keep reading.

About David Frazier

David Frazier is the editor of The ETF Strategist, published by Newsmax.  He also contributes a weekly commentary in the Global Economic Briefing e-letter, which is read by more than 165,000 investors each week.

David has a diverse background in the financial services industry, having worked for such well-known firms as The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation, TD Ameritrade, and William O'Neil & Co. (the publisher of Investor's Business Daily).

While working as an equity analyst in 2003-2004, his stock recommendations generated an average annual return of 45.7%, compared to 19% for the S&P 500.

Hello, I'm David Frazier, editor of The ETF Strategist, the newsletter every astute contrarian investor reads.

ETFs are open-ended investment vehicles I use to create portfolios based on a specific market sector using dynamic and quantitative indexing strategies instead of static ones.

I choose to work with ETFs because they provide a diversified, low cost, low turnover index investment that works for both long-term and selling short — qualities that give ETFs important advantages over other financial products.

I'll give you a glimpse of the shifting financial trends 2008 will bring in just a moment.

Right now, I have a special offer for you that will help you sail through the tricky investment waters that lie ahead and secure your yacht in its slip with profits of 100% or more by this time next year!

It is simply this: Receive all of my current ETF recommendations by trying The ETF Strategist FREE for 60 days with no risk or obligation!

The ETF Strategist Special 2008 Forecast Issue
will show you:

  • Why conservative investors should keep telecommunication holdings and avoid buying gold and bonds — two investments most advisors recommend in a down market — during the first half of 2008
  • Which ETFs will most likely succeed in the coming months
  • Why you should "lie low" until June and move quickly from July until the end of the year — and the tremendous opportunities heading our way in the latter half of 2008
  • How to protect your investment portfolio against losses when other investors are having trouble sleeping at night
  • Why economic growth in the U.S. will be considerably slower during the coming months regardless of whether the Fed boosts inflation by continuing to cut short-term interest rates or pushes the U.S. economy into a recession by raising them, and much, much more!

When you subscribe to The ETF Strategist, you'll receive via email:

  • Monthly issues of The ETF Strategist newsletter
  • Timely Profit Bulletins to stay in touch during volatile market conditions
  • Action Alerts with easy-to-follow instructions explaining what to buy, how much to pay, and when to sell
  • 24/7 Access to the ETF Strategist website that provides analyses on all our recommendations and access to all past newsletter issues

And that's not all by any means!

My offer includes these SIX bonus reports ABSOLUTELY FREE:

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Now, here's one of those 2008 trends I mentioned earlier:
Small cap growth stocks and stocks of companies in the financial, consumer discretionary and technological sectors will lead a market charge during the second half of 2008.

And here's another: My first forecast for the second half of 2008 is that stocks will trade in a sideways pattern from the end of June through September and surge higher during the final three months of the year.

However, by June or July, expect to see speculators begin re-entering the stock market lured by the anticipation of the positive effect on the economy that the Fed's rate cuts are likely to have beginning in the fourth quarter.

I expect these same speculators to begin aggressively buying beaten-down stocks trading at bargain prices, triggering a sharp rise in stock prices and an emerging bull market that will likely be led by small-cap growth stocks and stocks in several emerging world markets.

And just for good measure, here's one more: Like utilities, telecommunications stocks tend to weather economic downturns better than many other market segments.

The reason is simple: Who can afford to be without a phone and Internet access these days?

This is why, even though the telecommunications sector has not lived up to my expectations over the past month, my proprietary Asset & Sector Allocation Model strongly indicates that telecommunications will be a top-performer in the next six months.

Consumer Spending Continues to Slow;
Utilities Will Continue To Gain

As you probably already know, consumers kept their money in their wallets over the holidays. Except for a modest growth in online sales, especially electronics, merchants experienced the poorest holiday profits in years.

Stock prices continue to fall, as do sales (and prices) of new homes, which dropped to a 12-year low last November — a clear indicator of bigger declines in construction that will hinder economic growth in 2008.

All facts that illustrate the deep trouble in our economy. Despite these trends, savvy investors can continue making money by holding our recommended ETFs, which will continue to prosper in a slowing economy.

Even if the Fed doesn't cut interest rates further, the cuts made thus far will strongly encourage investors to turn to utilities — and thousands of fund managers to abandon the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 stocks to do the same — moves that will mean huge profits for investors who hold my top ETF recommendations in Mega Profit Utilities ETFs for 2008 and 5 Monster Breakout ETFs To Buy Now.

Join the Profit Party —
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More than 500 ETFs cover every major index, sector, and industry.

ETFs provide investors with a way to quickly and conveniently trade at any time of the day with the safety and diversity of mutual funds and the low trading costs associated with stocks.

ETFs are also far more tax-efficient and have fewer investment restrictions than mutual funds and more transparent, reporting their holdings daily.

No other investment product captures the big financial moves as well as ETFs, but you need to know which ETFs are the best to buy!

I can do all of that for you! And I have to say, I've done a pretty good job making big bucks for my subscribers lately.

Here are just a few examples of the big profits we've made since launching the ETF Strategist in September:

  • PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund is up +28.7%
  • ProShares Ultra Short Consumer Services Fund up +29.1%
  • Our Aggressive Portfolio has returned +15%
  • Our Conservative Portfoilo has returned +8.1%
  • We have only had ONE losing position since September.

All of this while the S&P 500 was DOWN 3.4%!

These are precisely the kinds of amazing investment opportunities you'll get when you subscribe to The ETF Strategist!

Are you starting to see the extra-edge The ETF Strategist can give you? Can you afford to do without this type of service in 2008? If we can make this kind of profits for our subscribers when the market is down, you surely want to be with us all year!

To download your FREE reports with all of my current top ETF recommendations, plus receive your 60-Day FREE TRIAL to The ETF Strategist, simply click here now.

Timing is Everything

Unfortunately, most individual investors either spin their wheels by chasing yesterday's stock winners or receive mediocre returns using a buy-and-hold strategy in mutual funds that never perform as well as expected.

With The ETF Strategist, you don't have to be a member of that group. You'll know which sectors are poised for liftoff and which are about to crash.

You'll know what to buy and when to buy it, what to sell and when to sell it.

The ETF Strategist will show you how to hit the "sweet spot" of exceptional growth and make 50% to 100% profits over the next 3, 6 and 12 months.

You'll find that ETFs are easy to use. You can make money using them when stock prices are going up, down and sideways. They protect your portfolio against losses at times when other investors are losing their shirts.

ETFs work equally well for conservative, moderate and aggressive investors. They allow you to invest in virtually every asset class, sector, industry, country or region, often at 1.5 and 2 times the return.

All you need is to succeed is expert guidance. And that's where I come in...

A Word About My Models

Of course, I mean my three proprietary investment models, NOT all the cover girls who are dying to go out with me because I'm handsome, witty AND rich. (Just kidding! I don't date models anymore, I'm happily married!)

I select the top-performing ETFs by using an Asset & Sector Allocation Model, a Sector & Industry Relative Performance Model and an ETF Comparison Model.

My Asset & Sector Allocation Model uses 97 financial and economic variables and 13 investor sentiment indicators to identify the current stage of the business cycle and determine which asset classes and economic sectors are likely to perform best in the next 3 to 6 months.

This model reveals whether or not to invest in ETFs comprised of stocks, bonds, commodities, precious metals, or real estate, as well as sectors such as basic materials, financial, or healthcare, or in foreign markets.

My Relative Performance Model ranks the price performance of the major economic sectors — 130 industries within those sectors — relative to the others over the most recent week, month and three-month timeframes.

This is a momentum model that identifies the sectors and industries that have recently been improving in performance, and are likely to continue to move up in rank as well as those that are falling back.

Using these two models, I can pinpoint not only those sectors and industries that are likely to do well in the next 3 to 6 months but those that are moving up as well. These models also reveal which sectors and industries show weakness and should be avoided.

After identifying which asset classes, economic sectors, and specific industries are most likely to be the top performers in the coming months, I use my ETF Comparison Model to analyze every ETF with significant holdings in our target market segments.

This model compares the historical performance records of ETFs during various market environments and helps determine which ones are the most likely to produce the best risk-adjusted results.

(By the way, my investment models have correctly forecast every major turning point in U.S. equities since 1970.)

A Few Final Words. . .

I'm extremely excited about the investment opportunities I see heading our way during the second half of 2008.

I'm equally confident about making money during the first half — when stocks in general will drop — because our mix of ETFs will benefit from a slowing economy, falling short-term interest rates and rising inflation.

They've already shown their strength in warding off the current meltdown. Again, both my conservative and aggressive portfolios are generating positive returns despite the negative S&P 500 performance!

So ignore both those Wall Street "experts" who counsel buying stocks at "bargain prices" and the negative news the mainstream media will be providing you with during the next six months.

Focus on making money no matter what the market does.

That's what we do best!

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As you can clearly see, a lot of thought and work precedes every single recommendation I make in The ETF Strategist.

There's no finer or more complete source for ETF investment opportunities available anywhere, and the time to invest using ETFs is NOW.

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